Feeling LUCKY?

Bluff Smoke 50

                                LUCK
“Chance (Luck) favors the prepared mind.” Louis Pasteur

Luck will find you if you go looking for it, both the good and the bad, mostly the bad!
Mental Exercise:
♠Note who is playing the most hands, who is playing the least hands.
♥What is the average raise by the loose aggressive players?
♦Who only calls?
♣Who folds to raises?
•Who is aggressive against draws?

Bad Beats and Bonehead Blunders.
Are the BBs, giving you the Heebie Jeebies, brought on by belligerent bluffing?
A Bad Beat means Luck beat the best hand at the Turn or River and no one slow played.
A Bonehead Blunder means the best hand, usually pre-flop, was trapped from the beginning or the regretful act of slow playing resulted in Luck winning at the river.
Don’t give LUCK a chance to beat you at the river!
A. You have AA and slow play it to the river and get beat.
B. You have AA and go all-in, before or after the flop, and get beat at the river.
One is a Bonehead Blunder and the other is a Bad Beat!

Aggression
The risk of never challenging is always greater than the risk of challenging.
“In a balance of mutual terror, whoever acts first has the advantage!”

Being aggressive before the turn or river, might have caused your opponent to fold, instead of winning on the turn or at the river.

Loose Aggressive players try to manufacture luck by playing a lot of hands. They typically raise out of position when first to play, or even do a straddle play when under the gun, knowing that the tight passive players are likely to fold their marginal hands. They usually raise around 3 big blinds preflop, which also shuts down the players who have bought in for less than 50 big blinds and players who have less than 50 big blinds.

Loose Aggressive players want action and will put in 10% of their stack with their marginal hands, middle connected and/or suited hands. When in position, you have to reraise these players with your top 15 hands and call with your top 25 hands. Out of position it’s best to just call your top 15 to 20 hands and raise with your top 15 hands.

Experienced tournament players are likely to make a bluffing bet on the river, if they think the other player is a weak or timid player. A bluffing raise is more likely to be used if an experienced player thinks the other player is more concerned about conserving chips in the middle of the tournament.

If sandwiched between an All-in raise and a previous raiser, when an over card comes on the Flop, the raiser is likely to fold a smaller pair to a re-raise. A Semi-bluff should be used more than out-right bluffs, early in tournaments.

The Patience Factor:
From the controversial book: Arnold Snyder, The Poker Tournament Formula 1.
Better required reading for tournaments is Arnold Snyder’s, The Poker Tournament Formula 2.

The blind structure in relation to the number of chips each player starts with is the primary consideration on deciding if you should even enter a tournament, yet alone what your strategy should be. The lower the patience factor, the more aggressive you have to be. The lower the patience factor, the more Luck prevails over skill.

The best way to get lucky, is to keep your head in the game!
You don’t get lucky before the flop. All luck happens after the flop.

After the flop you must keep this in mind.
•There are two types of hands in Texas Hold’em. A MADE HAND, pair or better,
and a DRAW to a straight or flush.

               •Every hand played after the flop is a contest between these two types of
hands
.

               •The draws are broken down to connected cards, gapped cards, suited
                 connectors and suited gapped cards.
                •Anything else isn’t worth looking at except when you are heads-up.

Your head can get into a kind of fog when you keep getting marginal hands or no playable hands for a couple of hours at a loose table.When this happens, it’s best to take a walk for a few hands, which may help clear your mind a little.

I see a lot of players that change seats or even tables when the cards turn cold. A lot of players will jump at the chance to get a hot seat that was recently vacated.
I don’t subscribe to the notion that if I change my seat, it will change my luck. You make your own luck, which is what those loose aggressive players are trying to do anyway by playing 80% of the hands and raising 50% or more with them, regardless of position.
I love those players, when my head is in the game.

I NEVER BLUFF

Mr Lucky Poker
Mr Lucky Poker

Hawaiian Gardens Casino Visit

The Gardens 2Location: Hawaiian Gardens CA
110 Poker Tables
(Bar/Food) C+/B+; Well & Craft Verity (No Dark Beer)
2 Restaurants/Cafes

Nicely laid out with the new remodel. Get Valet parking, $2 for Valet or $5 for up close, quick getaway Valet, it’s the best poker value. About the food; A very eclectic variety from around the world with American, Mexican, Italian, Asian, as well as Vietnamese and Korean.
The Concierge was very helpful in directing me to the tournament section, as I was interested in checking out their Sit-N-Go tournament. They used to have a couple of great ones in the past, a 3 table NLTH game that paid 4 players was the best. Now they are really just shootout turbo events, winner takes all and only one table w/10-12 min blind changes. A starting M” of 40-52 that plummets down to 2.53.5 at the one hour mark, means you will be All-In after about 25 hands dealt. If you like to gamble, that’s the game for you, absolutely no skill required. I’d rate it at a D”.

I decided to check out the Low Stakes NLTH games.
I’d rate the 1/2 buy-in at about a “
C” and mostly a Loose AggressiveB” Action, which is typical of most 1/2 games in the area with an “M” of only 50, best to wait until a new table opens for those games.
The 2/3 game was the most interesting, I’d give it a buy-in at “
B+” with an “M” of 67 and a Moderate Aggressive A+ Action. Lots of good banter and with 6 tables going it looked to be a good place to start. Didn’t see any LC/MM players, which is good.
There was also a good looking NLTH 3/5 and a 5/5 game in the High Stakes Room, with a buy-in at “
B” and Moderate Aggressive A+ Action

My favorite game is Pot Limit and Limit Omaha Hi and they had a couple of PLO games going. The 1/2 PLO with a buy-in at A-, “M” of 200, and another 1/3 PLO with a buy-in at a solid A, “M” of 100.

Hawaiian Gardens Casino Info:
Cash Games: Texas Hold’em, Omaha, Omaha 8, BigO, Stud, Stud 8
NLTH 1/2 @ $100 MAX (M50) Buy-in; 5-6 tables; [Game C, Action B ]
*NLTH 2/3 @ $200 MAX Buy-in; 5-6 tables [Game B; Action A+ ]
Most not LA-PF, 2-3BB usually on the flop w/draws; 3/4BB w/low pair or LA players
*NLTH 3/5 @ $300 MAX Buy-in; 2-3 Tables [Game B ] Action A+ ]

Sit-N-Go Games (D”)
They call them Sit-N-Go games {M_F}, but are basically a Shootout, winner-takes-all tournament.

Satellites: Tournament entry ticket only, no cash payouts?

Tournaments: Seasonal (Deep Stack; Turbo; WSOP; WPT)
Daily:
Seasonal: Poker Festival – May15-31 2017
May 19 Event #11 Deep Stack to 20k; BI $140=$35 w/1AO@$100, PR 536/312min
Level Time = 30/25L5; 0RB/1AO@$100; UM/M = 266/400 @1hr 133/200; MF-L5; BO-L1;
G75k+PO10%; PR(G/BI)

House Games:
Black Jack, Baccarat, Pai Gow, Three Card Poker, Ultimate Texas Hold’em

I NEVER BLUFF

Mr Lucky Poker
Mr Lucky Poker